Publications

Decolonise Diego Garcia: Why America should not fear Mauritius

Author(s): Dr Peter Harris
Date of publication: 2020
Publication type: OP Eds

Only a deal with Port Louis can put the future of the US base beyond question and preserve a crucial staging post. By Dr Peter Harris The United States military base on Diego Garcia has a problem: it is housed inside an unlawful jurisdiction, the British Indian Ocean Territory (BIOT). According...

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Australia should support India in the Himalayas

Author(s): David Brewster
Date of publication: 2020
Publication type: OP Eds

If Canberra wants a “comprehensive strategic partnership” with New Delhi, some courageous steps are needed. By Dr David Brewster The conflict between India and China on their disputed Himalayan border may be an important turning point in their relationship. Australia should take the opportunity...

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Diego Garcia: India’s conundrum

Author(s): Abhijit Singh
Date of publication: 2020
Publication type: OP Eds

New Delhi declared unequivocal support for “all peoples striving for decolonisation”, only to keep conspicuously quiet. By Abhijit Singh The tug-of-war between the United Kingdom and Mauritius over Chagos Archipelago – and the US military base on Diego Garcia – is hotting up. In 2019, the United...

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Navigating Uncertainty: The Future of Futures Analysis in the Australian Public Service

Author(s): Wilson, L, Young, R, Kapetas, A
Date of publication: 2020
Publication type: Policy

Nations and governments today face complex structural challenges; the result of several decades of sweeping economic, technological and social change. The COVID-19 pandemic, and government responses worldwide, will likely ensure that the 2020s is a ‘decisional decade’. The critical choices we...

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India-Australia strategic partnership: Leveraging aerospace capacity

Author(s): M Matheswaran
Date of publication: 2020
Publication type: OP Eds

The two countries have an opportunity to pursue air-power cooperation in the Indo-Pacific, where stability is essential. By M Matheswaran The forthcoming virtual summit between Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison assumes considerable significance for...

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Mauritian sovereignty over the Chagos Archipelago? Strategic implications for Diego Garcia from a UK-US perspective

Author(s): Samuel Bashfield
Date of publication: 2020
Publication type: Journal Article

This article examines the implications for the U.S. military base in Diego Garcia, located in the Chagos Archipelago, in the event that sovereignty of the atoll is ceded from the U.K. to Mauritius. Diego Garcia has become a critically important military base, facilitating U.S. power projection into...

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Covid contest in Indian Ocean region: India, China jostle for top spot

Author(s): Dr David Brewster
Date of publication: 2020
Publication type: OP Eds

Beijing’s Belt and Road could get very expensive indeed, with cash New Delhi will find hard to match. By Dr David Brewster In recent times, Australia has been searching for ways to support its Pacific “family” through the Covid-19 crisis with an eye on China’s moves. India has also been trying to...

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Diversifying Air Power: Broadening Air Force’s value proposition in an age of high contest

Author(s): Peter Hunter
Date of publication: 2020
Publication type: Policy

How should Air Force contribute to Australian Defence Force (ADF) strategy? In answering this question, it is important to start from first principles. By definition, Air Force remains responsible for the provision of air power capabilities to meet national defence requirements. Combat excellence...

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Transparent Oceans? The Coming SSBN Counter-Detection Task May Be Insuperable

Author(s):
Date of publication: 2020
Publication type: Project reports

A first principles analysis of new technologies and the detection of nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarines (SSBNs). Publication download link Authors: Roger Bradbury, Scott Bainbridge, Katherine Daniell, Anne-Marie Grisogono, Ehsan Nabavi, Andrew Stuchbery, Thomas Vacca, Scott Vella and...

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China 2030: Power in a Disrupted World

Author(s): Young, R.
Date of publication: 2020
Publication type: Policy

Our new series of Future Insights Papers are designed to help policymakers develop and test futures scenarios, conduct horizon scanning, and integrate futures analysis into their work. The Papers are designed to present provocative conversation-starters and arguable propositions, not definitive...

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