Publications

Fisherman looking at the horizon in Burma
Fisherman looking at the horizon in Burma

Saving the South China Sea fishery: time to internationalise

Author(s): Tsirbas, M.
Date of publication: 2017
Publication type: Policy

Key points: Twelve per cent of the global fish catch comes from the South China Sea, but that fishery is headed for collapse. This will have important national security implications for regional countries and Australia. Ensuing security tensions will be exacerbated by fishing nationalism....

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Exploring the Role of Instructional Material in AQAP’s Inspire and ISIS’ Rumiyah
Exploring the Role of Instructional Material in AQAP’s Inspire and ISIS’ Rumiyah

Exploring the Role of Instructional Material in AQAP’s Inspire and ISIS’ Rumiyah

Author(s): Ingram, H. Reed, A.
Date of publication: 2017
Publication type: Research

In recent years Europe has faced an increasing wave of so-called ‘lone actor’ attacks committed by jihadist (or jihadist-inspired) terrorists. This trend has continued in 2017. For example, the attacks in London and Stockholm, which were simple but devastating in their methodology. Both attacks...

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China’s economic leverage: perception and reality

Author(s): Edited by Medcalf, R
Date of publication: 2017
Publication type: Policy

Perceptions of Australia’s vulnerability to Chinese economic pressure are exaggerated. Some individual sectors are more vulnerable than others but this does not extend to the economy as a whole. Economic pressure that would have the biggest impact on Australia, notably through the iron ore trade,...

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President elected: Donald Trump
President elected: Donald Trump

The Trump presidency and Australia’s security: don’t panic, don’t relax

Author(s): Medcalf, R. Young, R. Tsirbas, M. Sussex M.
Date of publication: 2017
Publication type: Policy

Future US international policy has become uncertain, with the unpredictability of President Trump and deep divisions in political and public opinion. Security competitors will severely test US resolve and power, while allies will seek to hedge against US unpredictability as well as against Chinese...

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Did Obama have a grand strategy?
Did Obama have a grand strategy?

Did Obama have a grand strategy?

Author(s): Clarke, M. Ricketts A.
Date of publication: 2017
Publication type: Research

While campaigning for President in 2008, Barack Obama proposed a new direction in American strategy that would reverse the erroneous foreign policy choices of his predecessor, President George W. Bush. Senator Obama designed a strategy to ostensibly rewrite the United States’ relationship with the...

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Xinjiang and the Trans-nationalization of Uyghur Terrorism: Cracks in the “New Silk Road”?
Xinjiang and the Trans-nationalization of Uyghur Terrorism: Cracks in the “New Silk Road”?

Xinjiang and the Trans-nationalization of Uyghur Terrorism: Cracks in the “New Silk Road”?

Author(s): Clarke, M.
Date of publication: 2017
Publication type: Research

President Xi Jinping’s ambitious “One Belt, One Road” strategy has magnified Chinese concern for the security of its long restive northwestern province, the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region (XUAR). Xinjiang, as Owen Lattimore argued, throughout much of recorded history constituted (along with...

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The U.S.-Australia Alliance in an Era of Change: Living Complacently?
The U.S.-Australia Alliance in an Era of Change: Living Complacently?

The U.S.-Australia Alliance in an Era of Change: Living Complacently?

Author(s): Clarke, M.
Date of publication: 2017
Publication type: Research

U.S. primacy is both a strategic choice and an empirical condition, and thus analysis regarding the future of U.S. primacy should focus on both ideational (i.e., policy choices) and material variables (i.e., relativities of power).1 We are now witnessing significant shifts in the realms of U.S....

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US Grand Strategy and National Security: The Dilemmas of Primacy, Decline and Denial

Author(s): Clarke, M, Ricketts, A
Date of publication: 2017
Publication type: Research

The foreign policy crises that the USA has confronted under the administration of President Barack Obama have generated profound uncertainty about whether the USA can maintain what has been its consistent grand strategy since the end of the Cold War: primacy. The authors argue, drawing on a...

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The triumph of Russian national security policy? Russia’s rapid rebound

Author(s): Sussex, M
Date of publication: 2017
Publication type: Research

Russia’s return to prominence in international affairs has been in many respects surprising. Russia’s easy seizure of Crimea, its role in Syria and its ambitious pivot eastward have emboldened Moscow at a time of crisis for the liberal order. This article characterises Russian national security...

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"Denial in Australian Strategic Thought"

Author(s): Cohen, M, Lockyer, A
Date of publication: 2017
Publication type: Research

Although denial has been at the centre of Australian strategic thought for decades, it has frequently been used as a broad catch-all term. This article shows, however, that there are two distinct denial traditions in Australian strategic thought: anti-access denial and area denial. Despite the...

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