Publications

One Belt, One Road and China’s Emerging Afghanistan Dilemma

Author(s): Clarke, M
Date of publication: 2016
Publication type: Research

This article argues that China’s approach to Afghanistan since the end of the Cold War has been shaped by the desire both for security in Xinjiang and for geopolitical advantage in Central Asia. While Beijing’s Xinjiang calculus was ascendant from 1991 to 2001, since 2001 a broader geopolitical...

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Beijing’s March West: Opportunities and Challenges for China’s Eurasian Pivot

Author(s): Clarke, M
Date of publication: 2016
Publication type: Research

China’s Eurasian frontiers have emerged as a major factor in Beijing’s foreign policy through President Xi Jinping’s “One Belt, One Road” strategy. The article argues that this strategy has been given impetus by the shifting geopolitical landscape in Central Asia resulting from the U.S. withdrawal...

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How Nuclear Proliferation Causes Conflict: Proliferation Pessimism Revisited

Author(s): Cohen, M
Date of publication: 2016
Publication type: Research

The claim that the spread of nuclear weapons leads to interstate conflict and nuclear war has become very influential. However, proliferation pessimists have failed to specify how and when nuclear proliferation precipitates conflict. I make four arguments for an optimistic pessimism. (1) The few...

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Inside Xinjiang: Space, place and power in China's Muslim far Northwest
Inside Xinjiang: Space, place and power in China's Muslim far Northwest

Inside Xinjiang: Space, place and power in China's Muslim far Northwest

Author(s): Clarke, M.
Date of publication: 2015
Publication type: Research

The Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region is China’s largest province, shares borders with Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Afghanistan, Pakistan, Russia and Mongolia, and possesses a variety of natural resources, including oil. The tensions between ethnic Muslim Uyghurs and the growing number of...

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Competitive advantage in international policymaking
Competitive advantage in international policymaking

Competitive advantage in international policymaking: the value of trend and futures research

Author(s): L'Estrange, M.
Date of publication: 2015
Publication type: Policy

The concept of competitive advantage has always been an indispensable aspect of relations among states in the modern international system. It has provided a frame of reference for the pursuit of national priorities in trade, investment, diplomacy, military capabilities, technology and societal...

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Policing the G20 Protests: ‘Too Much Order With Too Little Law’ Revisited

Author(s): Legrand, T
Date of publication: 2015
Publication type: Research

In the months leading up to November’s G20 summit in 2014, Brisbane’s residents would have been forgiven for anticipating the outbreak of a local civil war. Media outlets were leading with headlines stating, among other sensational claims, that ‘G20 anarchists vow chaos and mayhem for Brisbane’s...

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Doubts Down Under: American Extended Deterrence, Australia, and the 1999 East Timor Crisis

Author(s): Cohen, M, O'Neil, A
Date of publication: 2015
Publication type: Research

American extended deterrence commitments span the globe. Despite extensive research on the causes of deterrence successes and failures, evidence of which US allies find what extended deterrence commitments credible is elusive. This article utilizes interviews with former Australian policy-makers to...

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British Military Withdrawal from South-East Asia and the Rise of Regional Cooperation, 1964-1973

Author(s): Thompson, S
Date of publication: 2015
Publication type: Research

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Leadership and Dependency: Indonesia’s Regional and Global Role, 1945-1975

Author(s): Thompson, S
Date of publication: 2015
Publication type: Research

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Sectarian violence: the threat to Australia

Author(s): Shanahan, R
Date of publication: 2014
Publication type: Policy

The NSC’s seventh Occasional Paper discussed the threat to Australia from Islamic extremism and returned foreign fighters. Religiously motivated violence has stood as one of Australia’s primary national security concerns for more than a decade. Religious intolerance has led to the deaths of...

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