Publications
Navigating Uncertainty: The Future of Futures Analysis in the Australian Public Service
Author(s): Wilson, L, Young, R, Kapetas, ADate of publication: 2020
Publication type: Policy
Nations and governments today face complex structural challenges; the result of several decades of sweeping economic, technological and social change. The COVID-19 pandemic, and government responses worldwide, will likely ensure that the 2020s is a ‘decisional decade’. The critical choices we...
India-Australia strategic partnership: Leveraging aerospace capacity
Author(s): M MatheswaranDate of publication: 2020
Publication type: OP Eds
The two countries have an opportunity to pursue air-power cooperation in the Indo-Pacific, where stability is essential. By M Matheswaran The forthcoming virtual summit between Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison assumes considerable significance for...
Mauritian sovereignty over the Chagos Archipelago? Strategic implications for Diego Garcia from a UK-US perspective
Author(s): Samuel BashfieldDate of publication: 2020
Publication type: Journal Article
This article examines the implications for the U.S. military base in Diego Garcia, located in the Chagos Archipelago, in the event that sovereignty of the atoll is ceded from the U.K. to Mauritius. Diego Garcia has become a critically important military base, facilitating U.S. power projection into...
Covid contest in Indian Ocean region: India, China jostle for top spot
Author(s): Dr David BrewsterDate of publication: 2020
Publication type: OP Eds
Beijing’s Belt and Road could get very expensive indeed, with cash New Delhi will find hard to match. By Dr David Brewster In recent times, Australia has been searching for ways to support its Pacific “family” through the Covid-19 crisis with an eye on China’s moves. India has also been trying to...
Diversifying Air Power: Broadening Air Force’s value proposition in an age of high contest
Author(s): Peter HunterDate of publication: 2020
Publication type: Policy
How should Air Force contribute to Australian Defence Force (ADF) strategy? In answering this question, it is important to start from first principles. By definition, Air Force remains responsible for the provision of air power capabilities to meet national defence requirements. Combat excellence...
Transparent Oceans? The Coming SSBN Counter-Detection Task May Be Insuperable
Author(s):Date of publication: 2020
Publication type: Project reports
A first principles analysis of new technologies and the detection of nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarines (SSBNs). Publication download link Authors: Roger Bradbury, Scott Bainbridge, Katherine Daniell, Anne-Marie Grisogono, Ehsan Nabavi, Andrew Stuchbery, Thomas Vacca, Scott Vella and...
China 2030: Power in a Disrupted World
Author(s): Young, R.Date of publication: 2020
Publication type: Policy
Our new series of Future Insights Papers are designed to help policymakers develop and test futures scenarios, conduct horizon scanning, and integrate futures analysis into their work. The Papers are designed to present provocative conversation-starters and arguable propositions, not definitive...
Diego Garcia: An American perspective
Author(s): Michael McDevittDate of publication: 2020
Publication type: OP Eds
A bid by Mauritius to claim the Chagos Archipelago puts the future of the base in question. Does the US have an answer? By Michael McDevitt Diego Garcia is the United States’ major geostrategic and logistics support base in the Indian Ocean. Sovereignty over the island is increasingly being...
Islands of opportunity: Where India and Australia can work together
Author(s): Darshana BaruahDate of publication: 2020
Publication type: OP Eds
Joint access to Andaman and Nicobar islands and Cocos island offers a chance to extend patrols and strategic ties. By Darshana Baruah As India and Australia prepare for a virtual summit next month between prime ministers amid the coronavirus pandemic, a possible strategic initiative could involve...
Mauritius, Diego Garcia and the small matter of nukes
Author(s): Samuel BashfieldDate of publication: 2020
Publication type: OP Eds
Mauritius can’t have sovereignty over the Chagos and US nuclear weapons housed on Diego Garcia. Or can it? By Samuel Bashfield Naval Support Facility Diego Garcia is a key part of the US global military network. The dispute over sovereignty of Diego Garcia is heating up, with the UK coming under...
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