Publications

India heads towards economic autarky

Author(s): David Brewster
Date of publication: 2020
Publication type: OP Eds

A telling speech foreshadows an India more focused on domestic markets and one with less clout in the region. India’s Foreign Minister Subrahmanyam Jaishankar this week made the clearest statement yet that India intends to head back down the road of economic autarky – for strategic reasons. This...

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Western Indian Ocean: Where trouble on land spells danger at sea

Author(s): Francois Vreÿ, Mark Blaine
Date of publication: 2020
Publication type: OP Eds

Piracy and smuggling are already a menace. Add a budding Islamist insurgency, and far-reaching implications may follow. South Africa may be facing an unholy mix of insurgency, radicalism and major power competition in the Western Indian Ocean. Much attention is given to the rivalry between major...

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A third aircraft carrier for India: Budget versus necessity

Author(s): M Matheswaran
Date of publication: 2020
Publication type: OP Eds

Concerns about cost overruns should be kept in perspective. The need for naval power projection is only growing. The Indian military is undergoing what may be its most significant reorganisation since India’s independence, with considerable implications for its future strategic posture. One...

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The Strategic Implications of Manipulative Digital Platforms: A Trust-Driven Approach

Author(s): Dr. Zac Rogers
Date of publication: 2020
Publication type: Policy

Australia’s strategic environment is rapidly changing. The most measurable changes are shifts in the regional balance of power and intensifying competition for influence in the Indo-Pacific. These developments have been complicated and exacerbated by the uncertainty generated by the presidency of...

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A China-Iran bilateral deal: Costs all around

Author(s): Jeffrey Payne
Date of publication: 2020
Publication type: OP Eds

By Jeffrey Payne Beijing sees an opportunity in Tehran’s international isolation – but may not realise the tangle it is entering. Rumors circling about an impending major partnership between China and Iran seem to be accurate. A leaked draft of the agreement published by the New York Times in...

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Tackling environmental security threats in the Indian Ocean

Author(s): David Brewster
Date of publication: 2020
Publication type: OP Eds

By David Brewster A “Quad-Plus” could bring together regional expertise and resources to address issues of collective interest. The explosion and fire on board a supertanker off Sri Lanka this month, following closely on last month’s disastrous oil spill in Mauritius, serve as a reminder that...

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National Mobilisation During War: Past Insights, Future Possibilities

Author(s): Dr Peter Layton
Date of publication: 2020
Publication type: Policy

Publication download link Mobilisation occurs during all conflicts with just the degree of mobilisation varying. Surprisingly then, most mobilisation thinking, doctrine and processes focus almost entirely on pre-war mobilisation activities, aiming to ensure that a nation is adequately prepared for...

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The delusion of India trying to throttle China’s maritime trade

Author(s): Sudarshan Y. Shrikhande
Date of publication: 2020
Publication type: OP Eds

Rowdy debates about going for China’s “jugular” in the Malacca Strait should not obscure the practical difficulties. By Sudarshan Y. Shrikhande The current phase of the Sino-Indian border conflict which began in May this year may go on for quite some time. India seems to be hunkering down for a...

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Australia and Sri Lanka: Air connectivity in the Indian Ocean region

Author(s): George I. H. Cooke
Date of publication: 2020
Publication type: OP Eds

The success of the two countries’ naval cooperation shows the potential for expanded partnership. By George I. H. Cooke Australia and Sri Lanka’s recent experience working together to prevent people smuggling from Sri Lanka has been one of the more significant, and largely unreported, wins in...

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Diego Garcia: The US has a clear choice

Author(s): Ambassador Jagdish Koonjul
Date of publication: 2020
Publication type: OP Eds

The Mauritian ambassador to the UN on recognising the country’s sovereignty over the Chagos Archipelago. By Ambassador Jagdish Koonjul Publication link The National Security College (NSC) is leading a two-year research project on Australia’s Indo-Pacific strategy in the Indian Ocean.  One of the...

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