Publications

The Great Australian China Debate

Author(s): Professor Rory Medcalf
Date of publication: 2018
Publication type: Presentation

On Monday 10 September, Professor Rory Medcalf, Head of the National Security College ANU delivered a lecture to the Sigur Center of Asian Studies, Elliot School of International Affairs, The George Washington University. Titled The Great Australian China Debate: Issues and Implications for the...

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Australia's Foreign Policy White Paper: Navigating Uncertainty in the Indo-Pacific

Author(s): Rory Medcalf
Date of publication: 2018
Publication type: Journal Article

The prevalence of peril in the world of 2018 vindicates the sober, direct and hedging tenor of Australia’s recent foreign affairs White Paper. This major policy document, released in November 2017, takes both a more cautious and a more creative approach to protecting and advancing Australia’s...

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Stylised global cyber map
Stylised global cyber map

Addressing Australia's Vulnerability to Weaponised Narratives

Author(s): Zappone, C, Sussex, M
Date of publication: 2018
Publication type: Policy

Key points: Information overload has permanently changed the news environment for the public, challenging democracies as a result. The human need to find patterns of meaning in events, combined with increasing information availability, exposes Australians to the risk of accepting false or damaging...

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Cyber person
Cyber person

Defining Thresholds in Law - Sophisticated Decryption and Law Enforcement

Author(s): Mosey, M., Henschke, A.
Date of publication: 2018
Publication type: Policy

Key points: Encryption technologies have fundamentally changed the way people transmit data, reducing the capacity of law enforcement and intelligence agencies to access information. Relying on the private sector to provide agencies with plain text information is no longer productive, yet...

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Exploring Beijing’s Motivations and Challenges for its New Silk Road

Author(s): Clarke, M
Date of publication: 2018
Publication type: Research

This article argues that Beijing’s ambitious ‘Belt and Road Initiative’ (BRI) is driven by the convergence of Innenpolitik and Aussenpolitik motivations including a desire: to counterbalance perceived American predominance; to ensure economic growth to underpin the CCP’s legitimacy; and to present...

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"Fear and Loathing: When Nuclear Proliferation Emboldens"

Author(s): Cohen, M
Date of publication: 2018
Publication type: Research

Does nuclear weapon development embolden national leaders to engage in more assertive foreign policies? Despite the importance of this question to international security studies, the nuclear emboldenment hypothesis has received little attention. This article develops a theoretical explanation of...

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Participants of the Belt and Road international forum, May 2017
Participants of the Belt and Road international forum, May 2017

One belt, one road, many rules-based orders

Author(s): Sussex, M, Clarke, M.
Date of publication: 2017
Publication type: Policy

Key points: The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) is both a blueprint for a China-centric order in the Indo-Pacific and a means to address internal economic and political challenges. China is not yet capable of leading that order, but its desire to do so is increasing. Prospects for the long-term...

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Airstrike on Marawi: Mark Jhomel/Wikimedia Commons
Airstrike on Marawi: Mark Jhomel/Wikimedia Commons

Marawi and after: how Australia can help

Author(s): Blaxland, J, Carroll, J, Carr, A, Harris, M
Date of publication: 2017
Publication type: Policy

Key points: The seizure of Marawi city by Daesh-linked militants is a game-changer for Southeast Asia, and presents a threat to all countries of the region. Limiting the movement of money, technology, recruits and planning support to extremist groups in the southern Philippines will be crucial to...

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Hong Kong cityscape highlights, International Finance Centre: Mstyslav Chernov
Hong Kong cityscape highlights, International Finance Centre: Mstyslav Chernov

The threat to the global economic and financial order: protecting Australia’s interests

Author(s): Luckham, B.
Date of publication: 2017
Publication type: Policy

Key Points The international economic order reflects the balance of strategic power. The challenge to the post-1945 global economic and financial order will persist as it reflects long-standing trends: perceptions of unequal economic opportunity in developed economies; the increasing economic...

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Indian Army Sikh Light Infantry regiment
Indian Army Sikh Light Infantry regiment

Imagining an Indian National Security Strategy: the sum of its parts

Author(s): Medcalf, R
Date of publication: 2017
Publication type: Research

India’s power and interests continue to grow in the Indo-Pacific region and globally, yet its national security policymaking approaches have not kept pace. These may have been barely adequate for India’s twentieth-century experience as a regional power tending towards strategic restraint, but...

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